The world economy is still growing, but the easy disinflation phase has been interrupted. In the U.S., that likely means “higher for longer” policy patience. In Europe, it means slower growth with greater energy sensitivity. In Asia ex-China, it means better trend growth but more vulnerability to oil and shipping shocks. In China, it means steady growth and policy flexibility, but not a clean breakout. For markets, diplomacy now matters almost as much as data: any durable de-escalation around Iran and any clearer trade agreements would improve the outlook faster than most economic models currently assume.